Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 4.419300 4.952305 5.532675 6.212922 6.990113 7.852361 8.884162
2025-02-02 3.744897 4.477173 5.335454 6.421252 7.766063 9.387038 11.503930
2025-02-09 3.279597 4.114791 5.149425 6.537029 8.366966 10.722289 14.023067
2025-02-16 2.935560 3.828699 4.985749 6.613554 8.875069 11.951214 16.530488
2025-02-23 2.670003 3.598455 4.847931 6.679609 9.342384 13.144919 19.119252
2025-03-02 2.377775 3.292968 4.564298 6.493650 9.408507 13.748531 20.894580
2025-03-09 2.168091 3.077633 4.378181 6.415668 9.605736 14.544788 23.046003
2025-03-16 1.987367 2.884463 4.201156 6.324522 9.759672 15.273954 25.167174
2025-03-23 1.916378 2.845677 4.246890 6.575581 10.474301 16.976354 29.169829
2025-03-30 1.793220 2.715087 4.137477 6.563365 10.747330 17.961935 32.031085
2025-04-06 1.674280 2.580468 4.008503 6.502901 10.925416 18.793266 34.713303
2025-04-13 1.507870 2.356993 3.717770 6.140528 10.532441 18.545877 35.256450
2025-04-20 1.429503 2.273646 3.654801 6.172862 10.865832 19.704996 38.854903
2025-04-27 1.388139 2.248454 3.687137 6.376771 11.539760 21.601632 44.321737
2025-05-04 1.334776 2.198376 3.671790 6.490975 12.053278 23.245263 49.526162
2025-05-11 1.279841 2.141080 3.638391 6.566737 12.497131 24.800254 54.803784
2025-05-18 1.227926 2.085009 3.602121 6.632225 12.925216 26.374453 60.412542
2025-05-25 1.145413 1.968236 3.445904 6.447758 12.810860 26.744145 63.101156
2025-06-01 1.084291 1.886233 3.348043 6.370402 12.914864 27.614366 67.227483
2025-06-08 1.026358 1.806313 3.248287 6.279988 12.979735 28.400599 71.276600
2025-06-15 1.013801 1.810412 3.309602 6.529028 13.830095 31.168775 81.359016
2025-06-22 0.971505 1.755035 3.250587 6.516910 14.079685 32.499092 87.596573
2025-06-29 0.926881 1.692372 3.172711 6.456932 14.209849 33.544979 93.204321